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"Inventory Accumulation" chart by County Chart on "Number of Homes Sold and Average Prices" by County Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 The Hows and Whys of the Housing Crisis, Sept 2008 Little-known provision of Housing Bill, August 2008 Some of the link above are in PDF format, which is readable by most computers today that has an Acrobat Reader. If you do not have an Acrobat Reader, you can download one for free and install it on your computer.
Note: Source of raw data are from TrendMLS. Analysis personally
performed and maintained by Danny Cachuela. Inventory Accumulation Chart Click here for full explanation of Inventory Accumulation and how it is used to measure the balance or imbalance between supply and demand. The premise here is that a balanced
market will have about five month's supply of inventory of available homes.
The Inventory Accumulation Chart shows the number of months supply
of inventory, which could change because either the demand is changing, or because the
supply is changing. Usually, it is the combination of both. What the
Inventory Accumulation number does not show is the cause of the change. The
Inventory Accumulation Chart shows the source of the change by
presenting both the current inventory level of homes and the "equivalent" of five months of
demand based on the average homes sold for the past twelve months.
Note that the focus here should be on the trend and not the exactness of
the number. Five-Month Demand This chart is calculated based on the average number of homes sold for the past twelve months. Home "sold" is the number of Pended transaction, not Settled transaction. An equivalent of five months of units sold is then calculated.
The chart presents average prices computed using a twelve-month moving average price of homes that sold -- i.e., settled. To illustrate the moving average calculation, the twelve-month average for June includes July of prior year through June of current year, July includes August of prior year through July of current year, etc. The averaging process smoothes the fluctuation from one period to another. It is important to note that, strictly speaking, this average price change does not necessarily constitute property appreciation. It is possible that more expensive homes are selling in one period compared to another. This chart simply shows the "average prices" of homes that sold. However, when dealing with a large population, this could be generally construed as reflective of appreciation assuming no significant change in the mix of homes being sold. Be sure to review the article included here on Local Market Condition Report to ensure that wrong decision is not made based on the information presented. The charts presented here are strictly for informational purposes. Keep in mind that homes are usually bought and sold over a long period of time; and over a long period of time real estate almost always appreciates. For this reason, it does not make sense to try to time the market. Unfortunately, the mass media sensationalizes on the bad news because that is what sells -- not the good news. Therefore, understanding this normal market behavior will, hopefully, calm down those who are affected by the media. Danny Cachuela makes this information available for the Pennsylvania Counties of Berks, Chester, Delaware, Montgomery and Philadelphia, as well as Camden and Gloucester County, New Jersey. This information is published through Realty Times, Realtor.com, Yahoo and a host of other websites. If you want to know about other specific market area, contact Danny Cachuela and he will be glad to provide you the information.
Working with a full-time professional real
estate agent is a must. Choose your agent by asking questions of him or her.
Find out how knowledgeable they are about houses currently for sale in your
price range and also of houses that have recently sold. Can your agent recommend
a good lender that has the reputation of excellent customer service and low
rates to assist your new buyer with financing? A good listing agent can get
your house sold quickly at TOP DOLLAR and help you find a new home. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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